三甲医院对人口分布及房价影响的研究——以复旦大学附属儿科医院为例

The Impacts of Class 3A Comprehensive Hospitals on Population Distribution and Housing Price——Take Children's Hospital of Fudan University for Example

以复旦大学附属儿科医院为例,采用定性与定量相结合的方法研究了作为稀缺资源的三甲医院与周边房价及人口分布之间关系。结果表明:在东西方向上,小区至医院的距离与小区房价之间有显著的三次函数关系,在0.713km范围内,随着小区距医院的加权距离的增加,房价越来越高。在0.713—2.048km范围内,房价随着加权距离的增加而下降,在2.048km以外,在研究距离范围内小区房价随着至医院加权距离的增加而增加。复旦大学附属儿科医院对周边人口分布有明显影响,其辐射范围在2km左右,在0.31km—2km范围以内,随着居委会至儿科医院加权距离的减小,居委会人口密度呈快速上升的趋势,三甲医院作为稀缺的医疗资源对人口分布产生明显的集聚效应。但在0.31km处,距离医院最近的居委会样本点的人口密度出现突然下降,远低于周边居委会的人口密度。

My thesis takes Children＇s Hospital of Fudan University as an example to research the relationship between the Class 3A comprehensive hospital, which are scarce resources, and the nearby house price and population distribution by quantitative and qualitative methods. According to my study, in the east and west direction, the hospital-residential distance and the housing price has a cubic relation： within 0.713km, as the weighted distance between the hospital and residential area increases, the housing price also goes up; from 0.713km to 2.048km, as the weighted distance increases, the housing price goes down; above 2.048km to the edge of the study area, as the weighted distance increases, the housing price also goes up. In the south and the north direction, the hospital-residential distance and the housing price also have a significant cubic relation. Within the study area, as the weighted distance between the hospital and the neighborhood decreases, the effects of the hospital decrease, the housing price increases. So Children＇s Hospital of Fudan University really has significant effects on the surrounding population distribution and its radiation radius is about 2 kin. Within the 2km to the 0.31km, with the weighted distance between the hospital and the neighborhood decreases, the population density of the neighborhood takes on a rapid upward trend. Class 3A comprehensive hospital, as a scarce medical resource, has an obvious combined effect on population distribution. However, at the point of 0.31km, the population density of the nearest neighborhood to the hospital has a sharp drop; it is much lower than that of the farer neighborhoods.