我国政府支出对经济增长的动态效应研究

The Research on the Dynamic Effect of Government Expenditure on the Economic Growth in China

本文构建了包含政府支出的内生化经济增长模型,在此基础上考察了政府支出对经济增长的长期动态效应,并通过构建状态空间模型和卡尔曼滤波的分析方法量化和预测了该动态效应值,解读了其相应的政策含义。

This paper deals with the long - time and dynamic effect of government expenditure exerting on the economic growth, based on the endogenous economic growth model including government expenditure, then calculate and forecast the dynamic effect value trough constructing the state space model and kalman filtering, and at least interpret the implications of corresponding policies.