期刊文献+

中国经济稳步进入新一轮景气状态 被引量:1

China's Economy on New Stable Expansion Track
下载PDF
导出
摘要 本文讨论了目前中国经济通货紧缩的国内外经济主导力量及其近期显著的演化趋势。在此基础上 ,我们对中国宏观经济包括经济增长、通货膨胀以及国际收支等变量的近期演变进行了分析 。 In this paper, it was discussed whether and which domestic and extemal forces domiinates much or not China's present deflation trend, and as key as possible, the latest significant changing trends of those forces. On the bases, we prepared with short term macroeconomic analysis and forecast such as those on economic activities, inflation, as well as international balance of payments (BOP) on China's economy.
出处 《预测》 CSSCI 2000年第2期1-7,18,共8页 Forecasting
关键词 通货紧缩 经济增长 国际收支 中国经济 deflation economic gowth ROP China's and Global economy East Asian financial tur moil new expansion track
  • 相关文献

同被引文献42

  • 1李运蒙.复杂经济系统的预测问题及综合集成法的应用[J].兰州大学学报(社会科学版),2004,32(5):131-133. 被引量:1
  • 2Jan G De Gooijera, Antoni Anguera. Forecasting threshold contegrated systems [J].International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20(2): 237-253.
  • 3Tersvirta T, Anderson H M. Characterising nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models[J].Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7(2): 119-136.
  • 4Ocal N, Osborn D R. Business cycle nonlinearities in UK consumption and production [J] . Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2004, 15(1): 27-43.
  • 5Marianne Sensier, Michael Artis, Denise Osborn R, et al. Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe [J] . International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20(2): 343-357.
  • 6Massimliano Marcellino. Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables [J]. International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20(2): 359-372.
  • 7Hamilton J D. A new approach to the economic analysis of non stationary time series and the business cycle [J]. Econometrica, 1989, 57(2): 357-384.
  • 8Filardo A J. Business cycle phases and their transitional dynamics [J]. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1994, 12(3): 299-308.
  • 9Paul Simpson W, Denise Osborn R, Marianne Sensier. Forecasting UK industrial production over the business cycle [J] . Journal of Forecasting, 2001,20(6): 405-424.
  • 10Krolzig. Markov switching vector autoregressions [A].In:Springer. Modelling Statistical Inference and Application to Business Cycle Analysis[C]. Berlin: 1997,101-102.

引证文献1

二级引证文献1

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部