外部技术冲击、区位因素与中国产业经济增长——基于沿海城市与民族地区比较

External Productivity Shocks,Location Factors and Industrial Economic Growth——Based on Comparison of Coastal Cities and Ethnic Regions

利用结构向量自回归模型,分析外部技术冲击对地区经济与产业增长的影响。通过比较外部技术冲击对沿海发达城市与民族地区的影响,考察不同地区受各种外部技术冲击的程度与持续性,总结与归纳地理特征带来的不同冲击反应。分析结果表明各地区不同产业受外部经济影响具有鲜明地区特点。沿海城市与民族地区最大的区别在于,沿海城市受国家宏观经济冲击的影响相对较多,体现了沿海地区更多地融入国际和国内经济环境的特点。

This paper analyzes the effect of external productivity shocks on regional economic and industrial growth using structural vector auto-regression model. By comparing the effect of external productivity shocks on coastal cities and ethnic regions, this paper ex- amines the degree and persistence of external productivity shocks and summarizes different shock reactions from geographical features. The results suggest that the effect of external economy on different industries of various areas possesses distinct regional features. The biggest difference between coastal cities and ethnic regions is that coastal cities are affected by relatively high macroeeonomic shocks, which is characterized by that the costal cities integrate into international and domestic economic environment to greater extent.