摘要
以上海产业发展为例,根据1995—2010年数据,分析上海产业结构变动和产业单位产出能源消耗强度变动对能源消费总量的动态影响。以传统区域经济学中动态偏离—份额模型为原型,构造产业结构变动对能源消耗影响的动态偏离—份额模型,认为产业结构变动对能源消耗的影响可以划分为两个方面:产业结构偏离份额和能源消耗效率偏离份额。分析上海1995—2010年三次产业发展对能源消费总量的影响,提出上海产业结构不断升级优化过程中第三产业比重不断上升,产业结构这一优化过程也是节能发展过程。尽管第二产业比重不断下降,但与第三产业相比仍属于耗能产业。
This paper, based on a case study on Shanghai＇s industrial development, according to the data in 1995-2010, analyzes its industrial structure changes, unit energy consumption strength change, and their dynamic influence on gross energy consumption. This paper constructs a dynamic deviation-quota model in traditional regional economics to analyze the influence of industrial structure changes to energy consumption, which can be attributed to two aspects, industrial structure deviation quota and energy consumption efficiency deviation quota. By means of this way, this paper studies the influence of three industrial development to gross energy consumption in Shanghai in 1995-2010. During upgrading the industrial structures, also an energy-saving process, the third industry is rising in proportion, contrary to the second industry, but it is still energy consuming.
出处
《资源与产业》
2013年第5期114-119,共6页
Resources & Industries
基金
上海海事大学校基金(20110060)
关键词
动态偏离-份额
能源能耗
产业结构
上海
dynamic deviation-quota
energy consumption
industrial structure
Shanghai
