流通产业促进我国居民消费的作用机理与实证研究

Mechanism and Empirical Research on the Impacts of Circulation Industry upon China's Household Consumption

流通产业规模、经营效益、发展环境对居民消费具有不同的影响和作用。选取1995—2011年我国及各省份流通产业与居民消费的相关数据,确定了流通产业对居民消费的影响因素,进而运用静态、动态面板数据模型考察了流通产业规模、经营效益、产业环境对我国居民消费的作用机理。研究发现,居民消费与三者之间存在着协整关系,壮大流通产业规模、提高经营效益、完善产业环境都对居民消费增长有显著的促进作用。此外,从固定变截距效应可以看出,我国东中西部地区流通产业发展对居民消费促进作用差异较大。

The scale of circulation, operational benefit and development environment have different impacts on residents＇ consumption. By choosing the data of circulation industry during the period of 1995--2011 in China and each province, this paper studies the mechanism on residents consumption of circulation industrial scale, operational benefit and industrial environment by using static and dynamic panel data model. The research results find that there is an integrative relationship between residents＇ consumption and circulation industrial scale, operational benefit and industrial environment. Enlarging circulation industrial scale, increasing operational benefit and improving industrial environment can greatly promote residents＇ consumption. In addition, it can be seen from the fixed effect variable intercept model that the circulation industrial＇development promote the residents＇ consumption differently in China＇s east and mid-west areas.