摘要
系统论述了概率折减法计算设计年上网电量的原理及方法,并以中国西北地区某风电场为例进行演算,得到了不同目标保证率下的设计电量值,计算结果能够很好地满足业主的风险管理需要,具有很强的投资参考价值。
The principle and method for the yearly grid electricity calculated by probability reduction method are described systematical- ly. With one wind farm in west China as an example, the designed yearly grid electricity is calculated and different values under different target reliability are gained. The calculation results well satisfy the Client＇s requirement on risk management and are with higher reference value for investment.
出处
《西北水电》
2013年第5期74-77,共4页
Northwest Hydropower
关键词
风电场
设计
年上网电量
折减因子
不确定因子
概率折减法
wind farm
yearly grid electricity
reduction factor
uncertain factor
probability reduction method
