逆梯度理论下京津冀产业协作研究

Industry Cooperation in the Capital Economic Circle under the Inverse Gradient Theory

逆梯度理论不仅是原有狭义梯度推移理论的逆向化扩展,而且在选择梯度结构的差异性和顺序性方面更加灵活。直接选用代表数量的产值比重指标和代表效益的全社会劳动生产率指标,对京津冀三次产业梯度差异进行比较分析。北京已经处在后工业化阶段,而天津和河北仍然处在工业化进程中,经济增长北京主要由知识和技术要素驱动,河北则主要依靠资源和劳动力要素驱动,天津处于两者之间。按照河北目前的经济基础以及京津冀经济圈的整体规划,河北省未来的发展并非完全需要直接承接京津生产转移,也并非完全以农业和资源型工业为方向,应该在做好传统优势产业升级的同时,根据河北省现状和现实条件,从逆梯度视角,积极参与京津高端产业推移,大力发展服务业、优势主导产业和新兴产业,以实现跨越发展目标。

The inverse gradient theory is not only the reverse expansion of original gradient theory , but also more flexible in the gradient differences and sequence of structure selection. Use the index of output value proportion and the whole society labor productivity to analyze the three industrial gradient differences between Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. Beijing has been in the latter stage of industrialization, and Tianjin and Hebei still lies in industrialized process. Beijing is in the high economic development level, economic growth depends mainly on the tertiary industry, the knowledge and technique elements. Hebei relies on resource and labour force element, Tianjin in middle level. According to the economic basement of He- bei and the overall planning of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic zone, future development of Hebei is not completely need to directly undertake the production transfer, does not entirely take agriculture and resource industry as the direction. At the same time, we should do a good job in the upgrading of traditional industry, according to the current situation and practical conditions of Hebei province, using the advantage of Beijing and Tianjin, actively involved in the transfer of high-end industry, to develop the service industry, advantage dominant industry and emerging industries from inverse gradient perspective, in order to achieve leaping development target.