城市道路交通噪声污染的灰色预测和灰色关联分析

The grey predicting and grey correlation analysis of city road traffic noise pollution

根据郑州市 1994～ 1998年城市道路交通噪声的监测数据以及相关影响因素的数据 ,运用灰色系统理论建立GM (1,N)预测模型 ,对郑州市 2 0 10年前城市道路交通噪声进行预测 ,并进行灰色关联分析。根据分析结果 ,提出了 1999年到 2 0 10年期间的治理对策。

This paper is based on the monitored data and the related data on Zhengzhou's city traffic noise condition in the 1994-1998 period. And, under the help of Grey system theory and through the establishment of GM(1,N)predicting model, it has made a predicting of Zhengzhou's city road traffic noise condition prior to the year 2010. Considering the related data on city road traffic noise condition, the paper derive the major factors causing noise by empolying Grey correlation analysis method, and thus put forward the countermeasures in the 1999-2010 period.