论侦查对抗博弈

On Investigation versus Confrontation

侦查对抗博弈具有零和博弈,陷入一次性博弈,策略的多样性、复杂性、多变性,参与方会根据对方的可能行动而调整行动,常常不按规则行动等特点。侦查方要在对抗博弈中取胜必须占据信息优势,制造信息的不对称,保证思维的正确性、先进性,施计用谋,保证处于优势,行动必须果断等选择相应策略;要促使对抗向合作转化,侦查方必须确立科学先进的理念,有政策法律的支持,根据不同性质的案件,针对对象的不同情况和需求,在法律政策许可的范围内实现双方的"和解"。

Inves verse, complex and tigation competing against confrontation, which is changeable tactics, and the participants who are a zero - sum and one - off game, has di- not restricted by rules will act according to what the opponents do. Investigation competing against confrontation can be classified into various groups by differ- ent standards. To beat the opponents, the investigators must have superiority in information, make information asymmetric, ensure the accurate and advanced thinking, exert wise strategies and act decisively to gain the upper hand. To transfer confrontation into cooperation, the investigators must establish scientific and advanced concepts as well as the support of policies and laws, take actions to reach a compromise between the two sides within the per- mitted bounds of laws and policies on the basis of the case nature, different conditions and demands.