基于时间序列分析的平顶山地区生产总值的变化趋势研究

Research on the Change Trend of GDP in Pingdingshan Based on the Time Series Analysis

利用1988—2008年平顶山地区及各县市区的生产总值的数据,建立自回归移动平均结合模型,对未来五年平顶山地区及各县市区的生产总值进行预测,并比较不同区域生产总值及其变化差异.

The author established the autoregressive integrated moving average model using the GDP data in counties and districts of Pingdingshan during 1988--2008, predicted the GDP in counties and districts of Pingdingshan for the next five years, and compared the GDP and its change difference in different regions.