无国际定价原油的价格公式研究

Price Formula for the Crude Oil without the International Pricing

目前,国际上大多数原油拥有长期固定贸易合同,其价格相对合理稳定。但是,也存在着部分无国际定价的原油,这部分原油的市场价格相对混乱。对无国际定价原油的定价机制进行研究,制定出合理的价格公式,可提高我国在石油价格制定中的话语权,从而保障国家经济运行的安全和国民经济的持续发展。从国际原油定价机制入手,探讨了不同市场环境下原油的定价方式,并对无国际定价原油的定价方法和定价公式进行了研究。通过量化原油品质对价差的影响,计算出回归因子,进而对原油官方报价进行修正,以期作为无国际定价原油的定价参考。

At present,the price of most international crude oil with long-term fixed trade contracts was relatively reasonable and stable. However,the market price of the crude oil without the international pricing was relatively chaotic. The reasonable price formula was made on the basis of studing the pricing mechanism for the crude oil without the international pricing,thus improving China's voice in making the international crude oil price,and safeguarding the security of national economic operation and the sustainable development of national economy.The pricing of crude oil under different market conditions,and the pricing method and formula of crude oil without the international pricing were described by starting with the pricing mechanism for international crude oil. Through the quantification of the influence of the crude oil quality on the price difference,the regression factor was calculated,and then the crude oil official offer was modified,which could provide a reference for the crude oil without the international pricing.