贸易开放视角下我国的功能收入分配:基于事实与经验的观察

Trade Openness and Functional Income Distribution:Factsand Empirical Evidence

本文在现有文献研究的基础上,从我国贸易开放与功能收入分配格局变迁的事实归纳中发现,二者之间存在一定的历史关联。论文进一步利用向量自回归模型(VAR)的格兰杰因果检验法对二者进行了统计意义上的经验观察,发现我国贸易开放度的提高、外资的流入是我国功能收入分配失衡的单向格兰杰原因,且呈负相关关系,但贸易条件的检验并不显著。这与前期学者的研究结论并不一致。有鉴于此,本文认为,贸易开放对我国功能收入分配失衡问题的影响值得学界进一步探讨。

There had been a considerable concern on functional income distribution in China. Based on literatures research, this paper first generalizes the facts of increasing inequality in the distribution of functional income in the context of trade openness and discusses the historcial connnection between them. Using vector Autoregressive models （VAR）, gives them a Granger causality test. The result shows there is a convincing evidence that increased degree of trade openness and the inflow of foreign capital are one-way Granger causes of the functional income distribution in China＇s case with their strong negative correlations, while terms of trade does not. The findings are not consistent with the earlier research and need further research.