摘要
公路施工线路较长,其中温度对公路施工的进度、质量、安全、经济效益影响比较明显,有必要对外界温度进行预测。本文以郑州地区为例,采用ARIMA模型对其1980-2012年的月平均气温进行时间序列分析及预测,模拟结果优良,从而为郑州地区的公路施工提供一定的参考价值。
The schedule of Construction of the highway line is longer, the temperature of highway construction obviously influence the quality, safety, economic benefits, so it is necessary to predict the outside temperature. In this paper, taking Zhengzhou area as an example, using ARIMA model to carry on the analysis and forecasting of time series on the 1980-2012 years of monthly average temperature, The simulation results are excellent, so as to provide a reference value for highway construction in Zhengzhou area.
出处
《河南科技》
2013年第11期152-153,共2页
Henan Science and Technology
