中日制造业产业内贸易影响因素及促进策略研究

The Empirical Analysis on Influential Factors of Sino-Japanese Intra-Industry Trade in Manufacturing Industries and the Implications

近年来中日制造业贸易额有了很大进展,产业内贸易总额也有了一定提升。通过建立模型进行实证分析,研究得出以下结论:中日制造业产业内贸易中,垂直型产业内贸易占主导地位。中日制造业的产业内贸易程度比较高,但极易受到各种不确定因素的影响,比较不稳定;水平型与垂直型产业内贸易存在较明显的失衡情况。各因素对制造业各行业的产业内贸易程度的影响与行业自身特点有较大关系,有些因素甚至会对制造业不同行业造成相反的影响。

In recent years, the manufacturing industry between China and Japan has made great progress in trade, the total intm- industry trade also has certain promotion. LIT in manufactures and its correlations with underlying variables through measuring and stepwise regressions. It is concluded that notwithstanding a high extent of I1T between Chinese and Japanese manufactures, the indexes of lIT are highly unstable, and vertical I1T is still a dominant part of the I1T, which indicating a disproportion between the vertical and horizontal liT. The influences exerted by variables vary accortfmg to individual industrial features, which may lead to complex impacts on different indus- tries.