概念性水文模型在灌区水资源供需分析中的应用

A Conceptual Model and its Application in Analyzing Water Demand and Supply

建立概念性水文模型并应用概念水文模型模拟了新疆墨玉县灌区水资源供需状况 ,经与观测资料对比和当地工程技术人员实际经验判断表明 ,该结果基本符合实际。其优越性在于 :可通过观测资料和实践经验检验模拟结果的可靠性 ,从而分析水资源历史供需状况 ,具有较高可信性。

Conceptual models are often used in forecasting flood, but not usually used in analyzing water demand and supply of an irrigation area. A conceptual model is developed and applied in analyzing water resources demand and supply for Moyu Irrigation Area, located in Southern Xinjiang, in this paper. By comparing simulated results with local recorded data, it is shown that simulated results with the conceptual model is coincident highly with local real situation of water demand and supply. The advantages of the conceptual model are also discussed in detail.