反倾销贸易壁垒与中国钢铁对外贸易问题对比研究

Comparative Study on Anti- dumping Trade Barriers and China's Steel Foreign Trade Issues

通过计算中国钢铁产品出口遭受的反倾销调查指数和措施指数，并进行了横向和纵向对比；依据反倾销强度指数公式及其变形，从反倾销发起国和反倾销被指控国两个角度，分析了反倾销主要来源国对中国产钢铁的反倾销强度指数的演变及其影响；最后利用计量方法就反倾销行为与贸易差额、进口比重的关联度进行了分析。研究显示：1999年～2009年间，中国钢铁产品遭受的反倾销调查案件总量位居世界第一，但反倾销调查和措施指数位居世界第三，次于印度和韩国，中国钢铁产品出口额受到他国反倾销的影响从轻微变为相对激烈；对华产钢铁发起反倾销诉讼的主要来源国已由美国变为美国、加拿大和墨西哥，且具有广度和集中度的特点；进13国钢铁贸易逆差扩大，且从中国进口钢铁额占该进13国钢铁总进口额的比重增大，则进口国更容易发起反倾销诉讼。

This paper calculates the anti - dumping investigations index and the anti - dumping definitive measures index against Chi- na＇ s steel products by horizontal and vertical comparison. Using the formula of antidumping intensity index, the paper also calculated the anti -dumping intensity index and its influence suffered form the main originating countries or regions. Finally, using the econo- metrical model, the relationship among the anti - dumping behavior and the balance of trade and import proportion has been analyzed. The findings show： during 1999 - 2009, the number of anti - dumping against China＇ s steel products ranks No. 1, but the anti - dumping investigations index and the anti - dumping definitive measures index are rank No. 3, after India and South Korea, indicating that the affection by foreign AD actions on Chinese steel exports are turned from slightly to badly. Main originating countries or regions are U. S. A, Canada and Mexico, etc. Expand of the trade deficit of China＇ s steel exports and the proportion of steel products imported from China was strongly affected by anti -dumping activities.