经济学情境分析方法的实质、危机与超越——金融危机视野下的科学哲学批判

Nature, Crises and Transcendence of Situational Analysis in Economics:A Scientific and Philosophical Critique from the Perspective of Financial Crisis

当前对主流经济学的科学哲学解读以波普尔的情境分析为代表。金融危机既宣告了主流经济学的方法论存在问题,也表明了波普尔哲学解读的困境。情境分析方法的危机根源在于误解了经济现象的本质,导致过分强调社会科学与自然科学在研究方法上的类似性。实现对主流经济学方法论和波普尔情境分析的超越,必须直面真实的经济现象———不仅关注简单现象,更要分析复杂现象。完善社会科学方法论可以使经济学研究抛弃"庸俗",重新找回"人"及其"意义",从而为经济学的范式转换提供理论支撑。

Popper＇s situational analysis represents current scientific and philosophical interpretation of mainstream economics. Financial crisis pro- claimed the problem of the methodology of mainstream economics, and also showed the dilemma of Popper＇s philosophical interpretation.These crises of situational analysis result from the misunderstanding of the nature of economic phenomena, leading to overemphasis on the similarity of methodology between social science and natural science. The transcendence of the methodology of mainstream economics and Popper^s situational analy- sis needs to face the real economic phenomena, namely we should not only pay attention to simple phenomena, but also analyze complex phenomena. The perfection of the methodology of social science can make economic re- search abandon vulgarization and find the human being and its meanings again,thereby providing theoretical support for the paradigm shift of economics.