中国人口再分布的社会经济合理性及其“多中心集聚”分析

Analysis of Socio-economic Rationality of China Population Redistribution and Its Polycentric Agglomeration

文章通过人口、经济不均衡性及重心变动分析,充分揭示了当前我国人口分布的空间格局及其变化状况。结果表明,中国人口区域偏集依然严重,且还有加剧的趋势,同时"人口-经济"间的契合度也不高,甚至还出现人口重心移动与投资重心移动相背离的情况,这对近期人口空间格局的发展非常不利。为此,研究认为,在当前的中国人口、经济形势下,构建以"多中心集聚"为导向、"人的城镇化"为内涵的新型城镇化体系,是未来进行人口合理再分布的必由之举。

The analysis of spatial imbalance of population distribution and economy Development, and their gravity center changes shows that China＇s population distribute in increasingly serious regional imbalance, while population distribution fails to match economy even with deviation of population gravity away from investment gravity. This is not the rational population spatial pattern. China should adopt polycentric agglomeration strategy in population distribution and human urbanization to construct a new urbanization system for the rational population spatial redistribution in the future.