基于灰色理论的道路全生命周期造价控制探讨

On exploration for road full life cycle cost control based on grey theory

介绍了灰色理论GM(1,1)模型的原理,利用某新建城市Ⅰ级主干道已有造价信息数据建立GM(1,1)模型,根据模型对工程造价进行预测,并验证了预测结果的合理性,从而证明了灰色理论在市政工程道路全寿命周期造价控制中的适用性。

The paper introduces the principle for the model of GM （ 1,1 ） of the grey theory, establishes GM （ 1,1 ） model by adopting the exist- ing cost information data of I -level main artery of some newly-buih city, and proves whether the forecasting results are qualified or not, and proves the adoptability of the grey theory in the cost control of the full life cycle on municipal engineering roads.