摘要
本文通过将对外贸易细分为货物贸易与服务贸易,利用我国1982—2012年的时间序列数据,对FDI与国内投资的贸易促进效应进行了实证检验与对比分析。研究表明,两种贸易形式对国内投资的反应曲线均表现为由规模经济向规模不经济过渡,但服务贸易的"拐点"相对提前出现;二者对利用外资的反应曲线则是稳定的规模经济增长过程。在总结研究结论的基础上,本文有针对性地提出部分政策建议。
This paper tries to do an empirical and comparative analysis of the promoting effect of China＇s FDI and domestic investment on foreign trade with data from 1982 to 2012 by dividing foreign trade into trade in goods and trade in service. We find that reaction curves of the two trade forms both show the tendency from economy of scale to the opposite, and the turning point of trade in service emerges in advance relatively. Reaction curves of both trade forms are in stable state of scale economies. Based on the empirical research results, the authors have proposed some targeted suggestions.
出处
《南开经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第5期60-70,共11页
Nankai Economic Studies
基金
范爱军主持的教育部规划基金项目"国际技术扩散对中国制造业技术进步和产业结构升级的影响研究"的阶段性成果
项目批准号:10YJA790044
山东大学"985工程"三期创新基地建设项目资助
关键词
贸易依存度
服务贸易
边际影响
反应曲线
Foreign Trade Dependence
Trade in Service
Marginal Effect
Reaction Curve
