基于新版NFA核算方法的中国城市生态足迹研究——以福建省漳州市为例

Study of the ecological footprint of Chinese cities based on the updated calculation methodology for NFA——A case of Zhangzhou in Fujian Province

为探索新版国家生态足迹账户（NFA）核算方法对中国城市生态足迹研究的适用性，并更准确展现近年福建省漳州市的生态足迹和生态承载力状况，运用NFA核算方法（2010版）计算并分析2005—2011年漳州市的生态足迹和生态承载力。结果表明，适度调整的新版NFA核算方法可以运用于我国城市生态足迹研究。有关漳州市生态足迹和生态承栽力的结论是：2005—2011年人均生态足迹由1．4238gha持续快速增长至2．1854gha，人均生态承载力由0．8823g11a轻微增长为0．9003gha，生态赤字由-0．5415gIla持续快速增加到-1．2851gha；未来人均生态足迹将继续增长，预计于2013年进入快速增长期，人均生态承栽力可能小幅下降，生态赤字势必日趋扩大。

To explore the applicability of the updated calculation method to Chinese cities, and reveal more accu- rately the evolution of ecological footprint and biological capacity in Zhangzhou in recent years, the calculation meth- odology for the National Footprint Accounts （NFA）, 2010 edition, is adopted to calculate and analyze the ecological footprint and biological capacity of Zhangzhou over 2005 -2011. The results indicate that the updated calculation method can be applied to Chinese cities with certain modifications. Furthermore, it concludes that during the period from 2005 to 2011 in Zhangzhou, per capita footprint grew rapidly from 1.4238 gha to 2. 1854 gha, per capita bioca- pacity rose slightly from 0.8823 gha to 0.9003 gha, and ecological overshoot kept increasing fast from -0. 5415 gha to - 1. 2851 gha, while in the future, per capita footprint will continue to grow, highly probably entering the period of rapid -growth in 2013, per capita biocapacity will possibly decline slightly, and ecological overshoot will enlarge in- creasingly.