大宗商品市场发展趋势与创新

The Development Trend of Major Commodity Market and the Innovation of That

近几年,我国大宗商品市场从过去短缺的市场格局,转变为当前全面过剩的市场格局,对我国经济产生了很大影响。在未来我国经济转型升级与结构调整的大背景下,大宗商品市场发展趋势值得关注。总体来看,未来五到十年我国大宗商品市场的发展趋势,一是从需求角度看,大宗商品市场需求将进入一个平稳期;二是从行业或产业角度看,大宗商品市场将进入调整期,能真正促使大宗商品市场平稳发展并保持供需平衡的关键仍然是供给;三是从流通角度看,大宗商品市场将进入提升期,要利用平台经济推动大宗商品市场流通领域的创新;四是从企业角度看,大宗商品主体企业将进入转型期,大宗商品主体企业必须适应转型发展过程,把握转型发展与提升机遇,从贸易商转型为流通商。在上述过程中,大宗商品市场并没有弱化,而是要经历一个由大到强的发展过程,应创新思考如何做强大宗商品市场。

In recent years, the current situation in major commodity market in China had transformed from shortage to overall surplus, which had great impact on China＇s economy. In the light of economic transformation, upgrade and restructuring, we should pay more attention to the future development trend of China＇s major commodity market. Generally speaking, in the future five to ten years, first, demand for major commodity will be stable; second, major commodity market will enter a period of adjustment and supply will be the major driver for the stable development of this market and the maintaining of balance between supply and demand; third, major commodity market will enter the period of improvement, and we should take advantage of platform economy to promote innovation in the circulation of major commodity market~ and fourth, major enterprises in this market will enter the period of transformation and they should seize this opportunity and transform from merchants to circulators. The major commodity market has not yet been weakened, but developed to a strong one. So we should make innovation in how to make the major commodity market to be stronger.