人力资本结构对经济结构转型的影响

Analysis of the Human Capital's Contribution to Transformation of Economic Structure

本文主要利用31个省1996-2010年的面板数据,分析人力资本结构对全要素生产率（TFP）增长率和三个产业就业率的影响,以及人力资本结构对经济结构转型的作用,并进一步研究不同地区的经济发展水平对该结果的影响.实证分析发现,确保九年义务教育的实施是提高TFP最经济的方式.对于较贫困的地区,增加高中教育的人力资本投资有助于向第二和第三产业转型；对于较富裕的地区,增加大专以上教育水平人力资本的投资,会推动向第三产业转型.

Using 3l provinces＇ 1996-2010 panel data, the author investigates the role of human capital on the total factor productivity and employment rate in three industries, to find the influence of human capital on transformation of economic structure considering the level of regional economic development. The empirical results indicate that the accomplishment of nine-year compulsory education is the most economical way to improve TFP. For poor area, the investment of human capital of senior high school education will contribute to the transformation to second and the tertiary industry. While for the more affluent areas, the higher education investment in human capital will promote the transformation to the tertiary industry.