创新的就业效应分析——基于中国上市公司微观数据的实证研究

The Effect of Innovation on Employment: Empirical Research Based on the Data of Chinese Listed Corporations

把创新对就业的影响分为水平效应和滞后效应两个方面。利用2009-2011年中国制造业上市公司的面板数据,发现,从整体上看,创新与就业水平显著负相关;但进一步分析表明,这种显著的负相关关系仅存在小企业里。创新对就业增长存在显著的正的滞后效应,并且这种滞后效应的影响要大大高于当期效应,使得从长期来看创新有助于促进就业增长。但这种显著的滞后效应依然仅存在小企业里。

The effects of Innovation on employment can be divided into two aspects：the level effect and hysteretic effect. Based on a sample of China manufacturing listing Corporation in 2009-2011, empirical study finds that, on the whole,the relationship between innovation and the level of employment are significantly negative; but further analysis shows that, the significant negative correlation exists only in small enterprises. There was a significant hysteretic effect of Innovation on employment growth, and the hysteretic effect is much higher than the current effect, so that in the long run innovation helps to promote the growth of employment. But the significant hysteretic effect still exists only in the small enterprises.