六安市经济增长与环境污染关系的研究——基于环境Kuznets理论的实证分析

The Relation between Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution in Lu'an City——Empirical Analysis Based on Environmental Kuznets Theory

根据六安市2001～2010年数据,选取工业“三废”、化学需氧量（COD）以及二氧化硫（SO2）排放量为环境指标,人均GDP为经济指标,借助SPSS和EXCEL软件系统,对人均GDP与污染物排放量之间的关系进行了分析.结果表明,工业废水排放量与人均GDP的曲线呈倒“U”型和“U”型相结合的曲线型;工业废气排放量及化学需氧量与人均GDP的曲线呈倒“U”型;工业固体废弃物排放量与人均GDP的曲线无转折点,呈曲线上升型;二氧化硫排放量与人均GDP则呈现出正“N”型.固体废弃物的处理是目前六安市环境朝着良性方向发展的关键所在.

According to the statistical data of economic increase and the amount of discharged industrial ＂three wastes＂ during 2001~2010 in Lu＇an city, the interrelations between per capital GDP and the amount of discharged pollutants were analyzed and the quadratic model were also established by dint of the SPSS and EXCEL software. The result shows that the curve of waste water with per capital GDP presents U shape and inverted U shape, but the waste gas and COD with per capital GDP show inverted U shape only. Differ from them, the solid waste and per cap ital GDP gives a curve with no kick point. The S02 with per capital GDP presents an N shaped curve. The solution was found that the solid waste treatment is very important in Lu＇an at present.