江苏服务贸易与经济增长关系的实证分析

The Empirical Research on the Relationship between Service Trade and Economic Growth in Jiangsu Province

基于现阶段江苏省对外贸易经济形势,文章利用协整分析方法,根据江苏省2000-2011年相关数据对服务贸易进口、出口与经济增长之间的关系进行了分析。实证结果表明:在短期内,服务贸易出口、进口和区域经济的增长之间表现出了正的相关性,但是进出口总额的增长效应不明显,这可能与进出口的结构不合理有关。

Based on the related data of foreign trade from 2000-2010 in Jiangsu Provinee, the paper studies the co-integra- tion between the service imports ＆ exports and Jiangsu economic growth. It is empirically demonstrated tbat there is a posi- tive correlation between service exports ＆ imports and regional economic growth in the short period, Ht^wever, the growth ef- fect to total service trade is not significant, it may be caused by the irraticmal trade structure.