3Baochang Gu and Yong Cai, ~'Fertility Prospects in China" , ExpertPaper No. 2011/14. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division, 2011.
4Zhao Zhongwei and WeiChen, "China's Far Below Replacement Fertility and its Long-term Impact: Comments on the Preliminary Results of the 2010 Census" , Demographic Research 25:819-836, 2011.
5中国国家统计局.《2005中国人口》,中国统计出版社,2007年.
6Cai Yong, "China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Government Policy Socioeconomic Development?" , Population and Development Review, 2010, 36(3), 419-440.
7Chen Jiajian, Robert D. Retherford, Minja Kim Choe, Li Xiru, and Cui Hongyan, "Effects of Population Policy and Economic Reform on the Trend in Fertility in Guangdong Province, China, 1975 - 2005" , Population Studies: A Journal of Demography, 64(1):43.
8Morgan, S. Philip, Zhigang Guo, and Sarah R. Hayford, " China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects" , Population and Development Review, 2009, 35(3), 605-629.
9Zheng Zhenzhen, Yong Cai, Fang Wang, and Baochang Gu, "Below-replacement Fertility and Childbearing Intention in Jiangsu Province, China" , Asian Population Studies, 2009, 5(3), 329-347.
10Alkema, Leontine,Adfian E. Raftery,Patriek Gerland,Samuel J. Clark, Franqois Pelletier,Thomas Buettner and Gerhard K. Heilig, "Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries" , Demography, 48 (3), 815-839.
