从中国的联合国投票看中国的朝鲜半岛政策——基于周期性视角

On China's Policy Towards the Korean Peninsula from its Votes in the United Nations——The Perspective of Periodicity

自中国恢复在联合国的合法席位以来,中国在联合国关于朝鲜半岛问题的投票,包括对提案、决议草案和决议的表态和表决等有十一次之多。中国投票的态度有三种形式:弃权、赞成和反对。"弃权"是一种无奈和默认;"赞成"代表认可、同意和支持;"反对"则是一种拒绝。从中国对提案、决议草案和决议的态度和倾向的不同,可以看出中国朝鲜半岛政策的变化:即从最初以朝鲜为中心的"单线政策"逐渐演变成"南北并重"的"双线外交"。这种变化主要是受到国际环境结构周期性的变迁、中国自身需求的周期性变化及中朝两国几代领导人的更迭等三个层次因素的影响所致。这些因素也将会决定中国未来朝鲜半岛政策的走向。

Since China resumed its Legal seat in the United Nations, China's votes on the issue of the Korean Peninsula were as many as 11 times, including on the proposals, draft resolutions and resolutions. There are three kinds of Chinese votes: abstention, approval and opposition. 'Abstention' is a kind of helplessness and default; 'Approval' represents an endorsement, support and ratification; and 'opposition' is a type of denial. What can be seen from the different attitudes and tendencies of China on these proposals, draft resolutions and resolutions are the changes of China's policy towards the Korean Peninsula, which the initial North Korea-centric 'One Korea' gradually evolved into 'Two Koreas' of 'North-South Balance'. The changes can attribute to three factors, which are cyclical changes of the international environment configuration, cyclical changes of China's own needs and the changes of generations of leaders from both China and North Korea. Indeed, these factors will also determine China's futures policy towards the Korean Peninsula.