全球化、城镇化与二氧化碳排放

Globalization,urbanization and CO_2 emissions

根据STIRPAT模型、EKC模型和混合模型,运用中国1997-2009年的省级面板数据考察了经济全球化和城镇化对CO2排放的影响效应。研究结果表明:经济全球化、城镇化对CO2排放具有显著的影响,存在长期的均衡关系;全国层面研究表明,贸易开放度和城镇化水平对CO2排放具有正的效应,外资依存度对CO2排放影响存在差异;区域层面研究表明,贸易开放度对CO2排放具有正的效应,外资依存度和城镇化水平对东部地区的CO2排放具有负的效应,而对中部和西部地区的CO2排放具有正的效应;此外,人口、经济和能源强度均对CO2排放具有显著影响,存在环境库茨涅茨曲线假说。

Based on the STIRPAT Model, Environmental Kuznets Curve and Mixed Model, this essay constructs the em- pirical model and analyzes the impact of economic globalization and urbanization on China＇ s CO2 emissions by using provincial panel data in 1997 -2009. The results show that economic glo- balization, urbanization and CO2 emissions have a steady equi- librium relationship in the long run. For the whole country, trade openness and urbanization have significant positive impact on CO2 emissions, while foreign capital reliance has difficult im- pact on CO2 emissions. For diverse areas, trade openness has a positive impact on CO2 emissions; foreign capital reliance and urbanization have negative impact on CO2 emissions in eastern area, while it has a positive impact on CO2 emissions in middle and western area. Then, population, economy and energy inten- sity have significant impact on CO2 emissions, and the data sup- ports the Environment Kuznets Curve Hypothesis.