中美双领导体制与东北亚安全:结构失衡与秩序重建

Sino-U. S. Dual Leadership System and Northeast Asian Security: Structural Imbalance and Order Reconstruction

近年来,东北亚相关安全问题频发且难以解决,根源在于中美缺乏实质性合作。中美双领导体制是中美在该地区安全问题上进行实质性合作的理想模式。一方面,东北亚地区的基本实力分布与中美两国的实力对比表明,中美在该地区已呈现出二元较为均衡的结构;另一方面,中美双领导体制不仅符合两国利益,也符合该地区其他国家的利益。从理论分析与既有案例来看,中美两国可以从多边层次、三边层次,以及双边层次进行构建。

In recent years,Northeast Asian security has encountered numerous intractable problems,and the lack of substantive Sino-U. S. cooperation makes them difficult to resolve. A Sino-U. S. dual leadership system will be ideal for both countries to cooperate on regional security issues. On the one hand,power distribution in Northeast Asia and the relative power balance between China and the U. S. suggest that a relatively balanced dual structure has emerged in the region. On the other hand,the dual leadership system will further the interests of both countries as well as those of the rest of the region. Our theoretical analysis and case studies show that China and the U. S. could try to build dual leadership at bilateral,trilateral,and multilateral levels.