基于灰色系统理论的山东省海洋生物医药业发展分析

Research on the development of marine pharmaceutical industry of Shandong provincebased on grey system theory

发展海洋生物医药业是山东省建设蓝色经济区,大力发展海洋高端产业,加快实现海洋经济结构优化升级的重要途径。论文运用灰色关联模型,定量分析山东省海洋生物医药业各影响因子的贡献度,研究发现,海洋科研机构科研经费总收入、政府资金、发明专利数和山东省海洋生产总值对山东省海洋医药业增加值的影响最大。建立灰色预测模型,对山东省海洋生物医药业发展趋势进行分析,研究发现在有效的政策环境下,产业能够保持继续壮大的态势。本文据此,提出提升产业竞争力、促进产业可持续发展的政策建议。

Based on the superior environment of the blue-economic zone, Shandong province has done a lot to improve the development of the marine pharmaceutical industry, which in turn facilitates the sustainable development of the marine industry here. In this paper, gray correlation degree analysis is used to study the key factors affecting the output of the marine pharmaceutical industry in Shandong quantitatively. The result shows that the total income of the scientific institute government funds and the number of the patent application have the largest impact. Grey dynamic model GM（1,1） is then used to provide reference for management and planning of the development of the marine pharmaceutical industry of Shandong province.