南昌市2012年流行性腮腺炎流行病学分析及发病趋势预测

Subject Epidemiological analysis and Incidence trends of mumps in nanchang city in 2012

目的了解南昌市流行性腮腺炎流行特征，为制定预防控制策略提供科学依据。方法采用描述流行病学方法对南昌市2012年流行性腮腺炎疫情资料进行流行病学分析，对发病趋势进行预测。结果南昌市2012年流行性腮腺炎共报告病例3309例，，以小学生和幼托儿童为主，发病主要集中在1月和3—6月；发病年龄以3—10岁较多，共2123例，占全年病例数的64．16％；男、女发病性别比为1．95：1。结论流行性腮腺炎发病有周期性上升趋势，小学生、幼托儿童是发病的主要人群，应为今后防控流行性腮腺炎工作的重点。

Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics of Mumps in Nanchang city , to provide the scientific basis for making strategy of control and prevention . Methods Adopting the epidemiological methods to analyze the epidemic data of Mumps in Nanchang city in 2012, and to predict the incidence trends. Results 3 309 Mumps cases were reported in Nanehang city in 2012. The patients mainly were Prima- ry school and kindergarten children. The incidence of mainly in January and March to June. There were 2 123 cases at the age of 3 tol0 , and accounted for 64. 16%. The incidence of male, female, gender ratio is 1.95 ：1. Conclusions Incidence of mumps showed increased periodic tendency, Primary school and kindergarten children are the main population of incidence and the key of pervention and control for mumps.