潜在震源区综合评判法在地震危险性分析中的应用

APLLICATION OF THE GENERALIZED EVALUATION METHOD TO SEISMIC RISK ANALYSIS OF POTENTIAL SOURCE

用多方案划分潜在震源区的方法对乌鲁木齐市某场地研究区进行地震危险性分析 ,可在研究区内划分出两套较成熟的潜在震源区方案。在这两个方案的基础上分别进行地震危险性分析 ,可得到两组危险性分析结果。之后由专家综合评判打分给出权重系数 ,对两个方案的两组危险性分析结果加权处理得到综合评判的结果。

Seismic risk analysis of some research areas in Urumqi City have been made with method of multi project dividing potential source, and two sets of mature projects have been developed. On the basis of the two projects,the seismic risk analysis of potential source area is made respectively, and two results of seismic risk analysis are obtained.After this,through generalized evaluation method, weight parameters are given by experts, and the result of generalized evaluation is obtained through weighting treatment of two seismic risk analysis results.