摘要
梳理了国内关于能耗回弹效应的相关研究，提出了考虑技术进步与结构变动的产业能耗回弹效应测度方法。基于我国1978-2010年的数据，在对各项参数进行合理估算的基础上，测算了考虑技术进步与结构变动条件下产业的能耗回弹效应。结果表明，就多数年份而言，我国的产业能耗回弹效应在100％-200％范围变动，且没有出现明显减缓的趋势。这样的结论为正确认识节能减排形势和制定考虑能耗回弹效应的能源政策提供了依据。
The research of rebound effect of energy consumption in China are reviewed. In the condition of the technical progress and structural changes, a measurement method of the industrial rebound effect of energy consumption is put forward. Base on the datum from 1978 to 2010 in China, various parameters are estimated reasonably and the rebound effect of energy consumption was calculated under the condition of technical progress and structural changes. The results show that, the range of variation of the industrial rebound effect of China＇s energy consumption is 100%-200% in most years and it did not appear apparent slow down trend. This conclusion provide basis to correct understand the energy- saving and emission reduction situation and to develop energy policy in China.
出处
《生态经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第1期83-87,103,共6页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国制造企业创新型成本领先战略研究"(11AGL001)
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"从低端同构到有序分工:长三角制造业协同升级的路径研究"(13YJA630095)
关键词
技术进步
结构变动
回弹效应
technical progress
structural changes
rebound effect
