基于面板数据的我国ODI对出口贸易影响分析

The Analysis of the Influence of China's ODI on the Export Trade Based on Panel Data

选取2003年-2011年全国30个省级行政区的数据,采用计量经济学OLS估计法,通过计算ODI（对外直接投资）和FDI（外商直接投资）对出口贸易的贡献率,分别从东中西部地区的角度进行实证分析。结果表明,我国东中西部地区ODI对出口贸易均具有显著的正效应,但对出口的促进作用存在地区差异。在总结研究结论的基础上,提出了相关政策建议。

This paper selects China＇s 31 provincial-level data from 2003 to 2011 and uses OLS to conduct an empirical analysis in the perspective of the eastern region, the central region and western region. The results show that ODI of the east- ern, central and western regions have significant positive effects on exports, but the effects show regional differences. Finally, the article puts forward some recommendations to promote the development of ODI.