基于时间序列分析的网络舆情扩散模型研究——以广西镉污染为例

Network Public Opinion Diffusion Model Based on Time Series Analysis Research

随着社会信息化的飞速发展,网络逐渐成为网民发布消息和发表言论的重要途径,其对突发事件的介入和参与能力也越来越强。研究以2012年"广西镉污染"为例,利用时间序列法对突发性事件的信息传播速度进行分析,为政府实行网络舆情疏导提供数量模型方面的支持,并从网络管理的角度提出在突发事件中对信息传播的监管建议。

With the rapid development of social informatization, network gradually become an important way to neti- zens publish news and comments, its involvement and participation of the emergency ability is becoming more and more strong. Based on the ＂guangxi cadmium pollution＂ in 2012, for example, using the method of time series analysis of sud- den events information dissemination speed, a network for the government support in terms of the number of public opin- ion guidance to provide model, and put forward from the Angle of network management in emergency weibo regulatory Suggestions.