能源消费与经济增长关系研究——以云南省为例

Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth——A case of Yunnan province

首先基于多变量生产函数模型,以1980-2011年数据为样本区间,利用协整理论、向量误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验等方法对云南经济增长、资本存量、劳动力和能源消费四个变量之间的关系进行分析。其次基于变系数面板数据模型对云南16个州市能源消费与经济增长的关系进行分析。本文最后根据实证分析结果并结合云南实际情况提出一些政策建议。

Based on multivariate production function model,the sample data from1981 to 2011 in Yunnan Province, using cointegration analysis, Vector error correction model, Granger causality test and the other methods to analysis the relationship of Yunnan＇s economic growth, capital stock, labor and energy consumption. Second, using the panel data model to analysis the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth of 16 prefectures in Yunnan, then we can find the difference among them. Finally, based on the empirical results and the actual situation in Yunnan, we make some policy recommendations.