经济增长收敛的空间计量分析:以江苏省县域经济为例

Spatial Econometric Analysis of Economic Grow th Convergence of Jiangsu Province Based on the County-level Panel Data

考虑江苏省县域经济间的空间相关性,采用空间面板数据模型对江苏省县域经济收敛进行动态分析。研究结果表明,考虑空间相关性后,不仅得到江苏省县域经济存在传统意义上的绝对收敛和相对收敛,而且还得到了县域经济间显著的空间相关性对其经济差异的缩小起到促进作用的结论,同时得到产生县域经济重大差异的原因是人力资本的匮乏、第三产业的不配套以及市场化程度偏低造成的。

Taking into account the spatial correlation across the county economy, this paper uses a spatial dynamic analy- sis method to analyze economic growth convergence of Jiangsu Province based on the county-level panel data. It is evident that after considering the spatial correlation, there is absolute convergence and conditional β convergence for the counties. And the spatial correlation has significantly narrowed the economic gap among the counties.