基于任务的舰炮装备保障性评价仿真算法研究

Research on Supportability Evaluation Simulation Arithmetic of Naval Gun Equipment Based on Mission

舰炮装备是机电结合的复杂装备,其保障性仿真属于典型的离散事件动态仿真。从任务出发,根据装备维修保障的运行机理,利用Mento-Carlo法、数理统计、计算机仿真等理论建立了一种基于设备参数和使用规则参数的仿真原理;基于该仿真原理,分别建立了舰炮装备的任务、三级保障组织及维修过程仿真算法和舰炮装备保障性的使用可用度、战备完好率及任务成功率三个指标仿真统计模型。实例表明算法和模型符合舰炮装备保障的实际情况,模型运行的结果合理、可信。算法和模型既可用于维修保障部门评价装备的任务成功性和战备完好性,也可用于解决部队战时或机动时保障性评估,具有广泛的实用价值。

Naval gun equipment supportability simulation is typical discrete events dynamic simulation. A kind of simulating principle was set up based on equipment parameter and using regulation parameter by using the theory of Monte-Carlo sampling, mathematical statistics and computer simulation. Simulation arithmetic including mission, support organization and maintenance process were set up based on the simulation principle. Operational availability, probability operational readiness and mission completion success probability were set up. The examples show that the evaluation arithmetic and model are in accord with the facts, and reasonable and valid. It not only can evaluate mission success and readiness for equipment operational department, but also can exactly solve evaluation of spare parts in war time or peace time. It has far-reaching practical value and meaning.