摘要
以玛纳斯河流域为研究区,采用数理统计的方法以研究区1958-1987年实测的水文、气象资料为基础进行趋势变化及全球气候变化对降水、气温、径流影响的分析。以新安江模型为基础建立了研究区数字水文模型,并对1981年融雪径流进行模拟。利用该模型结合不同的气候情景假设分析高寒山区融雪径流对气候变化的敏感性。
Taking Manas river basin as the research area, using the method of mathematical statistics and based on the available hydrological and meteorological data from 1958 to 1987, the paper analyzed the tendency change and the effect of global climate change on precipitation, temperature, snowmelt runoff. It established digital hydrological model based on Xinanjiang model and simulated snowmelt runoff in 1981. Using the model and assuming the different climate scenarios, it analyzed the impact of snowmeh runoff on climatic change sensitivity in arctic - alpine mountain area.
出处
《水资源与水工程学报》
2013年第6期214-216,219,共4页
Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering
关键词
高寒山区
融雪径流
气候变化
cold alpine area
snowmeh runoff
climate change
