农产品产业内贸易水平与结构:中国和澳大利亚的实证研究

Sino-Australia Agricultural Product Intra-industry: Trade and Its Influencing Factors

根据联合国商品贸易统计数据库数据,对1992—2011年中澳农产品产业内贸易水平与结构进行了分析,并进一步研究了其影响因素。分析结果表明:在中澳农产品贸易中,产业内贸易和产业间贸易同时存在,并且产业内贸易整体水平较低;中澳农产品贸易增量变化主要来源于产业间贸易,但产业内贸易的作用在逐渐增强;中澳农产品产业内贸易增量变化主要来源于垂直型产业内贸易,而水平型产业内贸易的作用在近年来有所增强;经济规模、人均收入差异、澳大利亚市场开放度、澳大利亚对华直接投资和农产品贸易不平衡对中澳农产品产业内贸易水平与结构具有显著影响。

Based on the data from UN COMTRADE DATABASE,this paper analyzes the level and struc-ture of Sino-Australia agricultural product intra-industry trade from 1992 to 2011 and further estimate its influencing factors.The research result shows that,intra-industry trade and inter-industry trade coexist in Sino-Australia agricultural product trade,and the total level of intra-industry trade is relatively low.The main source of incremental changes of Sino-Australia agricultural product trade is inter-industry trade, but the effect of intra-industry trade is increasing.The main source of incremental changes of Sino-Aus-tralia agricultural product intra-industry trade is vertical intra-industry trade,but the effect of horizontal intra-industry trade is increasing in recent years.Economic scales,difference in average income, Australia＇s market openness,Australia＇s direct investment in China and trade imbalance of agricultural product have significant effect on the level and structure of Sino-Australia agricultural product intra-indus-try trade.