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轨道交通站点P&R方式选择概率模型研究

Probability Model of P&R Options in Rail Transit Site
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摘要 如何将北京市停车换乘方式与实际情况结合起来,发挥P&R的最大效用服务于市民,是大家关注的问题。首先介绍方式选择概率模型的理论基础和基本形式,然后对于构建、标定、检验模型所需要的数据进行问卷调查。通过对调查结果的分类统计分析和P&R行为影响因素的量化分析,总结影响三类通勤者P&R方式选择的主要因素作为模型变量。最后采用SPSS16.0软件进行回归分析,对参数标定、检验,得出停车换乘方式选择概率模型的结构形式。 It is an issue common concern, how to combine Beijing P&R with the tact and make the maximum utility of P&R to service in public. In this paper, firstly, theoretical basis and basic Ibrm of the probability model are introduced. Secondly, to get the data of construction, calibration, inspection model, a questionnaire survey is needed. Through the statistical analysis of the investigation results and quantitative analysis of P&R behavior influencing factors, the main influencing factors of three commuters' P&R options as model variables are determined. Finally, using regression analysis of SPSS 16.0 software to calibrate and inspect parameters, then the structure of probability model of P&R options are obtained.
出处 《交通与运输》 2013年第H12期25-29,共5页 Traffic & Transportation
关键词 停车换乘 轨道交通 P&B方式选择模型 Park and ride(P&R): Rail transit Probability model of P&R options
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