我国信用总规模与经济增长关系的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between the Credit Scales and the Economic Growth of China

以1986—2012年中国的经济数据,研究分析中国信用总规模与经济增长之间的关系。结果显示:我国经济增长与信用总规模存在一定的相关性,两者之间为单向因果关系,即经济增长是推动信用总规模增加的主要原因,而信用规模的扩张对经济增长的作用并不显著。

Based on China＇ s economic data from 1986 tionship between China＇ s credit scales and its economic to 2012, this paper studies and analyzes the rela- growth tive relationship exists between the China＇ s credit scales growth , and the findings are as follows：firstly a rela- and its economic growth; secondly the economic and the credit scales have only single-causality relation, that is, the economic growth is the main reason for the development of the credit scales, while the enlargement of the credit scales has not obvious effect on the economic growth.