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基于指数平滑法预测企业货运量 被引量:5

Exponential Smoothing Method-based Prediction of Enterprise Freight Amount
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摘要 镇江中福马机械有限公司近年来发展十分迅速,生产规模不断扩大,由不断增长的货运量所产生的物流服务已成为现阶段企业亟待解决的重大问题。预测未来几年企业的货运量,并根据企业货运量合理安排货运计划和物流规划对企业具有十分重要的意义。指数平滑法是一种常用的预测方法,通过采用指数平滑法对企业货运量进行预测计算,得出特征年份的货运量,可为企业货运计划和物流规划提供理论支持。 Zhengjiang Zhongfuma Machinery Co., Ltd. has been developing rapidly in recent years and due to the constant expansion of its production scale, the logistics service involved in its constant increasing freight amount has become an important issue to be solved urgently at the current rational arrangement of freight plans and logistics lc stage. Prediction of enterprise freight amount in the coming few years and lanning based on such prediction are of great importance for an enterprise. The exponential smoothing method is a commonly used prediction method, with which enterprise freight amount can be calculated and predicted, thereby obtaining the freight amount of a specific year, providing support for enterprise freight plans and logistics planning.
作者 张澍 于霞
出处 《林业机械与木工设备》 2014年第1期55-57,共3页 Forestry Machinery & Woodworking Equipment
关键词 指数平滑法 预测 货运量 exponential smoothing method prediction freight amount
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