公平信息披露对证券分析师盈余预测分歧度的影响研究

Empirical Study about the Influence from fair disclosure of information on earnings forecast'dispersion

证券分析师在现代资本市场中扮演着会计信息使用者和提供者的双重角色,他们的行为对中小投资者和资本市场的效率都有着重要的影响。本文基于2003-2011年的分析师盈余预测数据,实证检验了《上市公司信息披露管理办法》的实施对分析师盈余预测分歧度的影响。研究结果表明:分析师盈余预测的分歧度在办法实施后显著下降了,但是这种趋势并没有随着实施时间的推移而逐步下降。

Securities analysts have play the important roles of information processors ana disseminators, their behavior have a major impact on small investors and the market efficiency. Using a large sample of analysts＇ earnings forecasts from 2003-2011, this paper assesses the impact of regulation fair disclosure on the dispersion of analysts＇ earnings forecasts. The studied results show that analysts＇ forecast dispersion falls following the adoption of fair disclosure rules., But, this trend doesn＇t fall step by step with the time of regulation＇s implementation extended.