中国内陆核电发展可行性及时机研究

Study on feasibility and opportunity of nuclear power development in inland of China

通过分析国内外内陆核电发展的状况,对中国内陆核电建设的正、反意见做出评析。结合国外发展经验,从中国能源布局、经济结构、环境保护、技术发展等方面进行了研究,指出核电建设内陆化是未来发展趋势,符合能源结构布局的总体要求,也是国民经济发展的关键环节。同时指出,安全问题是内陆核电能否顺利开建和发展的关键。建议内陆核电发展模式应为"实验堆-商业堆",并考虑四代堆的长远作用,中国内陆核电发展启动时机应该在"十三五"期间。

By analysis on inland nuclear power development at home and abroad,the consentient opinions and the adverse opinions on nuclear power development in inland of China were analyzed and evaluated.Combining with abroad development experiences,the energy distribution,the economy structure,the environment protection and the technique development of China were studied.The conclusion of the study is that to construct nuclear power plants in inland of China is future development trend and accords with the general requirement of the energy structure distribution,and it is the key link of national economy development.At the same time,the security problem is the key point influencing on successful construction and development of nuclear power plant in inland of China.It is suggested that the nuclear power development pattern in inland of China must be'experimental reactor-commercial reactor',and considering the long effect of the fourth generation reactor,the start opportunity of the nuclear power development in inland of China may be in duration of 13th Five Year Plan.