入世以来我国对外贸易结构的动态演化和升级路径选择

Dynamic Evolution and Upgrading Path:China's Foreign Trade Structure Since Joining the WTO

加入WTO以来,我国的对外贸易不断取得历史性突破,对外贸易结构也在不断的变化过程中。基于入世以来我国对外贸易的数据,从贸易主体、方式、商品、区域结构等4个方面分析了我国对外贸易结构的动态变化,指出以要素禀赋结构升级为基础的动态比较优势演进和我国现阶段发展水平是制约我国对外贸易结构升级的根本原因。在此基础上提出以要素禀赋升级和技术进步模式动态转型相结合的贸易结构升级路径。

China has seen a historic breakthrough in foreign trade since its entry into WTO along with the constant change of foreign trade structure. Based on the data of foreign trade since China＇s WTO entry, the paper analyzes the dynamic changes of China＇s foreign trade and points out that the evolution of dynamic comparative advantage based on factor endow- ment and China＇s development level at present are the main reasons holding the upgrading of China＇s foreign trade structure. On this basis, the paper further recommends the upgrading path of China＇s foreign trade which combines the upgrading of factor endowment and dynamic transformation of technological progress mode.