消费者心理因素与我国居民消费需求关系的实证研究

Empirical Study on the Relationship between Consumer Psychology and Consumer Demand

运用计量经济学模型,检验我国居民消费性支出与消费者信心指数、消费者满意指数和消费者预期指数三者的数量关系,结果表明:消费者满意度指数与消费支出之间存在着长期稳定的协整关系;嵌入消费者满意指数的消费函数模型拟合程度很好,各个参数都很显著;在其他变量保持不变的情况下,消费者满意指数每增长1个单位,消费性支出将增加0.223911,消费者满意指数对消费性支出有着明显的正影响。

Using econometric model, and combined with the relationship between China＇s consumer spending index and consumer confidence index, consumer satisfaction index, consumer expectation index, the results show that there exists a long - term and stable co -integration relationship between consumer satisfaction index and consumption spending; It fits well of consumption function model embedded with consumer satisfaction index, and every parameter is significant; With other variables held constant, and if the consumer satisfaction index increased 1 per unit , consumer spending will increase 0. 223911, so it is a significant positive impact consumer satisfaction index on consumer spending.