新经济地理学视角下人口与产业空间匹配性研究——以新疆地区为例

Study on the Mismatch of population and Industry Distribution under the perspective of New Economic Geography: A Case of Xinjiang Province

在新经济地理学对要素空间集聚逻辑分析的基础上,本文提出了人口空间分布与产业空间分布的演变机制模型,从人口与产业分布匹配度视角对区域经济发展差异做了动态描述。研究显示,人口与产业空间分布匹配性在经济发展过程中呈现出"双峰双谷"模式,同时得出三点有益的推论。并基于新疆区域内各地州人口与产业空间分布匹配性的实际变动情况验证了模型对现实地区差距的解释能力,证实了推论的可信性。

This essay proposed an evolvement mechanism model for the spatial distribution of population and industry which based on a logistic analysis of element spatial convergence used in the New Economic Geography. So this model gives us a dynamic expression to explain the regional economic development disparities from the perspective of matching degree between the distribution of population and industry. Study shows a ＂double peak and valley＂ pattern of matching character for these two elements evolvement model as while as three inferences. By constructing some index to measure the status and trends of mismatch ,we use the actual change between population and industry of Xin Jiang Province to identify the validity of this mod- el to reality divergence of regional economy. The result confirmed the applicability of this model and also demonstrated the credibility of the three inferences.